Industrials

Rocket Lab Corp (RKLB) options and signal

Figures as of 28 Sep 2026

RKLB is Rocket Lab Corp, an Industrials name the model ranks every trading day. The options figures are from the close on 28 Sep 2026. The model's figures are from 25 Sep 2026, one trading day behind the latest, as the Free plan shows them. Every model figure is paper trading.

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At a glance

Figure	Value	Date
Trade Card	Bear put spread, 18 Dec	25 Sep
IV rank	14 of 100	28 Sep
At the money IV	69.4%	28 Sep
Priced move to 30 Oct	19.4% down, 20.6% up	28 Sep
Call wall and put wall	80 and 65	28 Sep
Signal and the desk's view	No signal, view bearish	25 Sep
Last close	72.19	28 Sep
Next report	9 Nov 2026	28 Sep

Trade Cards

On 25 Sep 2026 the Trade Card for RKLB was a bear put spread expiring 18 Dec 2026, paper trading.

Figure	Value
Signal	Neutral
Strategy	Bear put spread, debit
Legs	Buy the 75 put, Sell the 60 put
Expiry	18 Dec 2026, 84 days to expiry
Limit	A debit of at most $6.98
Probability of profit	37%, the option market's odds at expiry, from delta
Max loss	$698 per contract
Max profit	$802 per contract
Breakeven	68.02
IV rank at that expiry	19 of 100

Probability of profit is the option market's own odds from delta, not the model's.

Priced on the option chain at the close on 25 Sep 2026.

Paper trading. The model's figures from 25 Sep 2026, one trading day behind, as the Free plan shows them.

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Options Snapshot

RKLB's IV rank is 14 of 100 on 28 Sep 2026.

Figure	Value
IV rank	14 of 100
At the money IV	69.4%, near month, 32 days
Put/call ratio, open interest	0.73
Call open interest, strikes captured near the price	327,000 contracts
Put open interest, strikes captured near the price	239,000 contracts
Cost to trade at the money	Fair, 27.0% of the option's mid price

IV rank is where the at the money IV sits among RKLB's own weekly readings, 0 the lowest and 100 the highest.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Priced Range

On 28 Sep 2026, RKLB options priced a move of 19.4 percent down and 20.6 percent up by 30 Oct 2026.

Expiry	Days	Down	Up	Range
2 Oct 2026	4	7.1%	7.6%	67.03 to 77.67
9 Oct 2026	11	11.2%	11.2%	64.08 to 80.24
23 Oct 2026	25	18.6%	17.6%	58.79 to 84.89
30 Oct 2026	32	19.4%	20.6%	58.19 to 87.09
20 Nov 2026	53	28.0%	30.5%	51.99 to 94.19
18 Dec 2026	81	32.7%	36.0%	48.59 to 98.19
19 Mar 2027	172	49.3%	55.1%	36.59 to 111.99

The range is one standard deviation either side of the close of 72.19, as the option prices imply it.

A priced move restates option prices at the close and says nothing certain about where the price goes.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Gamma Map

On 28 Sep 2026, RKLB's call wall is the 80 strike and its put wall is the 65 strike.

Figure	Value
Call wall, most open call gamma	80
Put wall, most open put gamma	65
Net dollar gamma, calls minus puts	$13.53 million
Total dollar gamma, both sides	$48.33 million
Close	72.19

Dollar gamma is stated for a one percent move in the price.

Net is calls minus puts under the standard convention, not a record of who holds the contracts.

Net gamma changes sign at 3 strikes, so no single flip strike is named.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Volatility History

On 28 Sep 2026, RKLB's at the money IV is 69.4 percent against 20 day realized volatility of 51.8 percent.

Figure	Value
At the money IV	69.4%
Realized volatility, 20 trading days	51.8%
Realized volatility, 60 trading days	72.3%
IV against its own weekly record	Low, in the bottom fifth
Weekly readings on record	228, from 17 Sep 2021
Weeks the price moved more than the one week priced move	23.6% of 225 weeks

Realized volatility is worked out from the daily closes the desk holds, not from the option chain.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Volatility Weather

On 28 Sep 2026, RKLB's at the money IV runs from 69.6 percent at 4 days to 75.6 percent at 172 days.

Days to expiry	At the money IV
4	69.6%
11	67.0%
18	67.8%
25	65.4%
39	67.3%
53	76.3%
81	72.6%
172	75.6%

Far expiries price more volatility than near ones, an upward sloping term structure.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Volatility Smile

On 28 Sep 2026, at the 32 day expiry, RKLB's IV ten percent below the price sits 1.9 points below at the money IV.

Strike area	Implied volatility	Against at the money
10% below the price	67.4%	-1.9 points
At the money	69.4%	0.0 points
10% above the price	65.7%	-3.6 points

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Volatility Surface

On 28 Sep 2026, RKLB's surface spans 10 expiries out to 172 days, with IV from 61.8 to 77.0 percent near the price.

Figure	Value
Expiries captured	10
Nearest expiry	2 Oct 2026, 4 days
Farthest expiry	19 Mar 2027, 172 days
Points within 10% of the price, 7 days out or more	84
Lowest IV among them	61.8%
Highest IV among them	77.0%

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Expiry Ladder

On 28 Sep 2026, RKLB has 10 captured expiries, from 2 Oct 2026 to 19 Mar 2027.

Expiry	Days	At the money IV	Call open interest	Put open interest
2 Oct 2026	4	69.6%	34,933	13,376
9 Oct 2026	11	67.0%	14,438	9,610
16 Oct 2026	18	67.8%	61,680	52,466
23 Oct 2026	25	65.4%	9,529	8,115
30 Oct 2026	32	69.4%	9,353	6,072
6 Nov 2026	39	67.3%	307	1,799
20 Nov 2026	53	76.3%	8,975	4,186
18 Dec 2026	81	72.6%	57,995	54,359
15 Jan 2027	109	73.4%	101,850	62,368
19 Mar 2027	172	75.6%	27,646	26,233

Open interest is summed over the strikes captured near the price on each expiry.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Strike Table

On 28 Sep 2026, RKLB's largest open interest sits at the 80 strike, with 58,989 contracts across the captured expiries.

Strike	Call open interest	Put open interest	Total
80	44,030	14,959	58,989
70	26,223	20,799	47,022
65	14,634	28,594	43,228
100	35,189	5,240	40,429
60	8,702	28,956	37,658
75	21,735	12,750	34,485

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Since Yesterday

From 25 Sep 2026 to 28 Sep 2026, RKLB's at the money IV moved from 66.6 percent to 69.4 percent.

Figure	25 Sep	28 Sep	Change
At the money IV	66.6%	69.4%	+2.8 points
Open interest, strikes captured near the price	569,274	565,290	-3,984
Put/call ratio, open interest	0.70	0.73	+0.03

Open interest changes cannot identify buyers or sellers.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Changed Hands

On 28 Sep 2026, 86,673 RKLB option contracts traded, 0.7 times its own recent average.

Figure	Value
Calls traded	57,374
Puts traded	29,299
Against its recent average	0.7 times
Busier than	7 of its last 20 trading days
Open interest, whole chain	880,233 contracts
Volume to open interest	0.10
Unusual volume flag	Yes, 4 contracts traded well above open interest
Largest flagged contract	The 72 call expiring 2 Oct, 3,879 traded against 1,304 open

Traded volume and open interest are shown side by side and never combined. Open interest changes cannot identify buyers or sellers.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Positioning Replay

The replay holds 33 trading days of RKLB's option positioning, from 11 Aug 2026 to 28 Sep 2026.

Date	Close	Net dollar gamma	Top call strike	Top put strike
11 Aug 2026	80.01	$9.74 million	80	80
21 Sep 2026	69.89	$8.43 million	70	65
28 Sep 2026	72.19	$13.53 million	80	65

Each frame restates one nightly capture. Net is calls minus puts, a convention, not who holds the contracts.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Read-out

On 25 Sep 2026 the desk's view of RKLB was bearish, paper trading.

Figure	Value
Side	Bearish at 45 trading days, no signal
Level above the close	75.46, the swing high of 24 Sep 2026, a close past it runs against the view
Level below the close	68.92, the swing low of 24 Sep 2026
The chart	Sits against the view
Strategy family	Bear put spread (buy a put spread)
Price target	None. The desk has no price model.

The levels are prices the shares turned at on the chart, with the date of each.

Paper trading. The model's figures from 25 Sep 2026, one trading day behind, as the Free plan shows them.

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Rank by Timeframe

On 25 Sep 2026 RKLB sat at the 16th percentile of the model's 45 trading day ranking, paper trading.

Timeframe	Percentile	Side
10 trading days	40 of 100	Neutral
20 trading days	76 of 100	Neutral
45 trading days	16 of 100	Bearish

100 is the top of the ranking. A name in the middle three fifths is neutral.

Paper trading. The model's figures from 25 Sep 2026, one trading day behind, as the Free plan shows them.

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Timeframe Agreement

On 25 Sep 2026, 1 of 3 timeframes put RKLB on the bearish side, paper trading.

Group	Timeframes	Side	On that side
Near	10 day, 20 day	Neutral	0 of 2
Long	45 day	Bearish	1 of 1

Paper trading. The model's figures from 25 Sep 2026, one trading day behind, as the Free plan shows them.

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Signal History

On 25 Sep 2026 RKLB had carried no signal for 2 trading days, paper trading.

Trading day	Signal	45 day percentile
25 Sep 2026	None	16 of 100
24 Sep 2026	None	18 of 100
23 Sep 2026	Bearish	3 of 100
22 Sep 2026	Bearish	1 of 100
21 Sep 2026	None	19 of 100
18 Sep 2026	None	30 of 100
17 Sep 2026	None	28 of 100
16 Sep 2026	None	14 of 100

Paper trading. The model's figures from 25 Sep 2026, one trading day behind, as the Free plan shows them.

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Sector Split

On 25 Sep 2026, 51 of 147 Industrials names were bullish and 37 were bearish, paper trading.

Sector	Names	Bullish	Bearish	Neutral
Industrials	147	51	37	59

Paper trading. The model's figures from 25 Sep 2026, one trading day behind, as the Free plan shows them.

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Price Chart

RKLB closed at 72.19 on 28 Sep 2026.

Figure	Value
Last close	72.19
Change over 5 trading days	+3.3%
Change over 21 trading days	+6.9%
Change over 63 trading days	-26.3%
Change over 252 trading days	+54.8%
52 week high	151.00
52 week low	37.57
20 day moving average	66.28
50 day moving average	69.58
200 day moving average	81.18
RSI, 14 days	56

Worked out from the desk's own daily bars, adjusted for share splits.

From the daily bars through 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Earnings Radar

RKLB reports next on 9 Nov 2026, a date confirmed by the company.

Figure	Value
Next report	9 Nov 2026, after the close
Date	Confirmed by the company
Move after the report of 10 Aug 2026	-0.0%
Move after the report of 11 May 2026	+0.2%
Move after the report of 10 Feb 2026	-3.4%
Move after the report of 10 Nov 2025	-1.3%

Earnings calendar as of 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Company Events

RKLB filed 1 current report in the 14 days to 28 Sep 2026, the latest on 15 Sep 2026.

Filed	Report	What it covers
15 Sep 2026	Current report	Regulation FD Disclosure; Other Events

Filings as of 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Seasonality

In the 5 Septembers on record, RKLB's average change was plus 11.6 percent, and it rose in 40.0 percent of them.

Month	Average change	Middle change	Share of years up	Years
September	+11.6%	-1.4%	40.0%	5
October	+10.0%	+10.0%	60.0%	5
November	+24.1%	+3.5%	60.0%	5

Each figure is a month end to month end change in past years. A past month says nothing certain about the next one.

Monthly history through 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Headlines

The desk's news feeds carried 8 headlines naming RKLB in the 3 days to 28 Sep 2026.

Figure	Value
Headlines in the window	8
Latest	28 Sep 2026

The titles are in the Headlines window, with the time each was published.

Headlines as of 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Questions

What is RKLB's IV rank?: RKLB's IV rank is 14 of 100 on 28 Sep 2026.
What move are RKLB options pricing?: On 28 Sep 2026, RKLB options priced a move of 19.4 percent down and 20.6 percent up by 30 Oct 2026.
Where are RKLB's call wall and put wall?: On 28 Sep 2026, RKLB's call wall is the 80 strike and its put wall is the 65 strike.
What was the latest Trade Card for RKLB on the Free plan?: On 25 Sep 2026 the Trade Card for RKLB was a bear put spread expiring 18 Dec 2026, paper trading.
When does RKLB report earnings next?: RKLB reports next on 9 Nov 2026, a date confirmed by the company.

More Industrials names

Guides and the full list

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