Consumer Discretionary

Tractor Supply Co (TSCO) options and signal

Figures as of 28 Sep 2026

TSCO is Tractor Supply Co, a Consumer Discretionary name the model ranks every trading day. The options figures are from the close on 28 Sep 2026. The model's figures are from 25 Sep 2026, one trading day behind the latest, as the Free plan shows them. Every model figure is paper trading.

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At a glance

FigureValueDate
IV rank100 of 10028 Sep
At the money IV58.8%28 Sep
Priced move to 30 Oct14.7% down, 19.1% up28 Sep
Call wall and put wall35 and 3028 Sep
Signal and the desk's viewNo signal, view bearish25 Sep
Last close32.0728 Sep
Next report22 Oct 202628 Sep

Options Snapshot

TSCO's IV rank is 100 of 100 on 28 Sep 2026.

FigureValue
IV rank100 of 100
At the money IV58.8%, near month, 32 days
Put/call ratio, open interest0.36
Call open interest, strikes captured near the price78,500 contracts
Put open interest, strikes captured near the price27,900 contracts
Cost to trade at the moneyWide, 66.6% of the option's mid price

IV rank is where the at the money IV sits among TSCO's own weekly readings, 0 the lowest and 100 the highest.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Priced Range

On 28 Sep 2026, TSCO options priced a move of 14.7 percent down and 19.1 percent up by 30 Oct 2026.

ExpiryDaysDownUpRange
2 Oct 202644.1%4.7%30.75 to 33.59
9 Oct 20261110.4%7.7%28.73 to 34.55
23 Oct 20262512.9%13.0%27.92 to 36.25
30 Oct 20263214.7%19.1%27.34 to 38.19
20 Nov 20265318.3%18.4%26.19 to 37.98
18 Dec 20268119.7%20.1%25.76 to 38.51
19 Mar 202717230.3%31.8%22.36 to 42.27

The range is one standard deviation either side of the close of 32.07, as the option prices imply it.

A priced move restates option prices at the close and says nothing certain about where the price goes.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Gamma Map

On 28 Sep 2026, TSCO's call wall is the 35 strike and its put wall is the 30 strike.

FigureValue
Call wall, most open call gamma35
Put wall, most open put gamma30
Flip strike, where net gamma changes sign32.41
Net dollar gamma, calls minus puts$2.26 million
Total dollar gamma, both sides$5.49 million
Close32.07

Dollar gamma is stated for a one percent move in the price.

Net is calls minus puts under the standard convention, not a record of who holds the contracts.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Volatility History

On 28 Sep 2026, TSCO's at the money IV is 58.8 percent against 20 day realized volatility of 26.8 percent.

FigureValue
At the money IV58.8%
Realized volatility, 20 trading days26.8%
Realized volatility, 60 trading days31.1%
IV against its own weekly recordHigh, in the top fifth
Weekly readings on record865, from 8 Jan 2010
Weeks the price moved more than the one week priced move25.4% of 252 weeks

Realized volatility is worked out from the daily closes the desk holds, not from the option chain.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Volatility Weather

On 28 Sep 2026, TSCO's at the money IV runs from 54.7 percent at 4 days to 46.2 percent at 172 days.

Days to expiryAt the money IV
454.7%
1162.0%
1852.2%
2550.1%
3960.0%
5348.3%
8142.6%
17246.2%

Near expiries price more volatility than far ones, an inverted term structure.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Volatility Smile

On 28 Sep 2026, at the 32 day expiry, TSCO's IV ten percent below the price sits 0.1 points below at the money IV.

Strike areaImplied volatilityAgainst at the money
10% below the price58.7%-0.1 points
At the money58.8%0.0 points
10% above the price48.8%-9.9 points

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Volatility Surface

On 28 Sep 2026, TSCO's surface spans 10 expiries out to 172 days, with IV from 42.1 to 75.3 percent near the price.

FigureValue
Expiries captured10
Nearest expiry2 Oct 2026, 4 days
Farthest expiry19 Mar 2027, 172 days
Points within 10% of the price, 7 days out or more59
Lowest IV among them42.1%
Highest IV among them75.3%

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Expiry Ladder

On 28 Sep 2026, TSCO has 10 captured expiries, from 2 Oct 2026 to 19 Mar 2027.

ExpiryDaysAt the money IVCall open interestPut open interest
2 Oct 2026454.7%1,361869
9 Oct 20261162.0%986488
16 Oct 20261852.2%14,9089,561
23 Oct 20262550.1%4171,195
30 Oct 20263258.8%900208
6 Nov 20263960.0%16622
20 Nov 20265348.3%740362
18 Dec 20268142.6%14,3284,186
15 Jan 202710946.8%29,1888,462
19 Mar 202717246.2%15,5522,508

Open interest is summed over the strikes captured near the price on each expiry.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Strike Table

On 28 Sep 2026, TSCO's largest open interest sits at the 40 strike, with 23,950 contracts across the captured expiries.

StrikeCall open interestPut open interestTotal
4023,25969123,950
3517,6754,19821,873
307,6777,41215,089
254415,3135,754
385,6091395,748
334,8382755,113

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Since Yesterday

From 25 Sep 2026 to 28 Sep 2026, TSCO's at the money IV moved from 48.5 percent to 58.8 percent.

Figure25 Sep28 SepChange
At the money IV48.5%58.8%+10.2 points
Open interest, strikes captured near the price100,881106,407+5,526
Put/call ratio, open interest0.370.35-0.02

Open interest changes cannot identify buyers or sellers.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Changed Hands

On 28 Sep 2026, 4,563 TSCO option contracts traded, 0.7 times its own recent average.

FigureValue
Calls traded2,753
Puts traded1,810
Against its recent average0.7 times
Busier than4 of its last 20 trading days
Open interest, whole chain113,344 contracts
Volume to open interest0.04
Unusual volume flagNo

Traded volume and open interest are shown side by side and never combined. Open interest changes cannot identify buyers or sellers.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Positioning Replay

The replay holds 33 trading days of TSCO's option positioning, from 11 Aug 2026 to 28 Sep 2026.

DateCloseNet dollar gammaTop call strikeTop put strike
11 Aug 202635.29$4.42 million3530
21 Sep 202632.33$664,1713530
28 Sep 202632.07$2.26 million3530

Each frame restates one nightly capture. Net is calls minus puts, a convention, not who holds the contracts.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Read-out

On 25 Sep 2026 the desk's view of TSCO was bearish, paper trading.

FigureValue
SideBearish at 45 trading days, no signal
Level above the close33.27, the swing high of 22 Sep 2026, a close past it runs against the view
Level below the close31.87, the swing low of 21 Sep 2026
The chartSits with the view
Strategy familyBear call spread (sell a call spread above the price)
Price targetNone. The desk has no price model.

The levels are prices the shares turned at on the chart, with the date of each.

Paper trading. The model's figures from 25 Sep 2026, one trading day behind, as the Free plan shows them.

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Rank by Timeframe

On 25 Sep 2026 TSCO sat at the 5th percentile of the model's 45 trading day ranking, paper trading.

TimeframePercentileSide
10 trading days2 of 100Bearish
20 trading days7 of 100Bearish
45 trading days5 of 100Bearish

100 is the top of the ranking. A name in the middle three fifths is neutral.

Paper trading. The model's figures from 25 Sep 2026, one trading day behind, as the Free plan shows them.

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Timeframe Agreement

On 25 Sep 2026, 3 of 3 timeframes put TSCO on the bearish side, paper trading.

GroupTimeframesSideOn that side
Near10 day, 20 dayBearish2 of 2
Long45 dayBearish1 of 1

Paper trading. The model's figures from 25 Sep 2026, one trading day behind, as the Free plan shows them.

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Signal History

On 25 Sep 2026 TSCO had carried no signal for 16 trading days, paper trading.

Trading daySignal45 day percentile
25 Sep 2026None5 of 100
24 Sep 2026None19 of 100
23 Sep 2026None13 of 100
22 Sep 2026None10 of 100
21 Sep 2026None9 of 100
18 Sep 2026None22 of 100
17 Sep 2026None6 of 100
16 Sep 2026None9 of 100

Paper trading. The model's figures from 25 Sep 2026, one trading day behind, as the Free plan shows them.

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Sector Split

On 25 Sep 2026, 27 of 106 Consumer Discretionary names were bullish and 33 were bearish, paper trading.

SectorNamesBullishBearishNeutral
Consumer Discretionary106273346

Paper trading. The model's figures from 25 Sep 2026, one trading day behind, as the Free plan shows them.

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Price Chart

TSCO closed at 32.07 on 28 Sep 2026.

FigureValue
Last close32.07
Change over 5 trading days-0.8%
Change over 21 trading days-7.6%
Change over 63 trading days+2.8%
Change over 252 trading days-43.2%
52 week high58.21
52 week low28.36
20 day moving average33.39
50 day moving average33.40
200 day moving average40.33
RSI, 14 days41

Worked out from the desk's own daily bars, adjusted for share splits.

From the daily bars through 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Earnings Radar

TSCO reports next on 22 Oct 2026, a date worked out from past quarters.

FigureValue
Next report22 Oct 2026, before the open
DateWorked out from past quarters
Move after the report of 24 Apr 2026-2.9%
Move after the report of 22 Jan 2026+2.4%
Move after the report of 24 Apr 2025-3.4%
Move after the report of 30 Jan 2025-5.0%

Earnings calendar as of 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Public Filings

The filings the desk holds carry 1 recent trade in TSCO shares.

FiledWhoTradeSize
9 Sep 2026. April McClain Delaney, member of CongressSold part$1,001 to $15,000

Every filing is reproduced as filed, and each one reaches the public days or weeks after the trade.

Filings as of 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Short Volume

On 25 Sep 2026, 50.2 percent of TSCO's reported volume at the covered venues was marked short.

FigureValue
Short sale share, 25 Sep50.2%
Five day average51.7%
52 week median54.4%
Short interest, share of shares outstanding7.6% at the 15 Sep 2026 settlement
Days to cover4.6

Short sale volume counts trades marked short at the covered venues, mostly off exchange. It is not the same as short interest.

Short volume as of 25 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Seasonality

In the 23 Septembers on record, TSCO's average change was minus 0.8 percent, and it rose in 47.8 percent of them.

MonthAverage changeMiddle changeShare of years upYears
September-0.8%-1.2%47.8%23
October+3.1%+0.3%52.2%23
November+2.8%+3.5%69.6%23

Each figure is a month end to month end change in past years. A past month says nothing certain about the next one.

Monthly history through 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Headlines

The desk's news feeds carried 1 headline naming TSCO in the 3 days to 28 Sep 2026.

FigureValue
Headlines in the window1
Latest26 Sep 2026

The titles are in the Headlines window, with the time each was published.

Headlines as of 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Questions

What is TSCO's IV rank?
TSCO's IV rank is 100 of 100 on 28 Sep 2026.
What move are TSCO options pricing?
On 28 Sep 2026, TSCO options priced a move of 14.7 percent down and 19.1 percent up by 30 Oct 2026.
Where are TSCO's call wall and put wall?
On 28 Sep 2026, TSCO's call wall is the 35 strike and its put wall is the 30 strike.
What was the desk's latest view of TSCO on the Free plan?
On 25 Sep 2026 the desk's view of TSCO was bearish, paper trading.
When does TSCO report earnings next?
TSCO reports next on 22 Oct 2026, a date worked out from past quarters.

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