Consumer Discretionary

Airbnb (ABNB) options and signal

Figures as of 28 Sep 2026

ABNB is Airbnb, a Consumer Discretionary name the model ranks every trading day. The options figures are from the close on 28 Sep 2026. The model's figures are from 25 Sep 2026, one trading day behind the latest, as the Free plan shows them. Every model figure is paper trading.

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At a glance

FigureValueDate
Trade CardLong straddle, 30 Oct25 Sep
IV rank56 of 10028 Sep
At the money IV44.6%28 Sep
Priced move to 30 Oct13.5% down, 12.2% up28 Sep
Call wall and put wall160 and 15028 Sep
Signal and the desk's viewNo signal, view neutral25 Sep
Last close156.0828 Sep
Next report5 Nov 202628 Sep

Trade Cards

On 25 Sep 2026 the Trade Card for ABNB was a long straddle expiring 30 Oct 2026, paper trading.

FigureValue
SignalNeutral
StrategyLong straddle, debit
LegsBuy the 155 call, Buy the 155 put
Expiry30 Oct 2026, 35 days to expiry
LimitA debit of at most $18.75
Probability of profit43%, the option market's odds at expiry, from delta
Max loss$1,548 per contract
Breakeven139.52 and 170.48
IV rank at that expiry45 of 100

Probability of profit is the option market's own odds from delta, not the model's.

Priced on the option chain at the close on 25 Sep 2026.

Paper trading. The model's figures from 25 Sep 2026, one trading day behind, as the Free plan shows them.

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Options Snapshot

ABNB's IV rank is 56 of 100 on 28 Sep 2026.

FigureValue
IV rank56 of 100
At the money IV44.6%, near month, 32 days
Put/call ratio, open interest1.00
Call open interest, strikes captured near the price80,200 contracts
Put open interest, strikes captured near the price80,400 contracts
Cost to trade at the moneyFair, 38.6% of the option's mid price

IV rank is where the at the money IV sits among ABNB's own weekly readings, 0 the lowest and 100 the highest.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Priced Range

On 28 Sep 2026, ABNB options priced a move of 13.5 percent down and 12.2 percent up by 30 Oct 2026.

ExpiryDaysDownUpRange
2 Oct 202644.3%4.0%149.41 to 162.29
9 Oct 2026118.3%9.5%143.18 to 170.88
23 Oct 20262511.8%9.5%137.68 to 170.98
30 Oct 20263213.5%12.2%135.08 to 175.08
20 Nov 20265315.8%16.5%131.48 to 181.88
18 Dec 20268118.4%21.1%127.38 to 189.08
19 Mar 202717227.2%30.2%113.58 to 203.28

The range is one standard deviation either side of the close of 156.08, as the option prices imply it.

A priced move restates option prices at the close and says nothing certain about where the price goes.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Gamma Map

On 28 Sep 2026, ABNB's call wall is the 160 strike and its put wall is the 150 strike.

FigureValue
Call wall, most open call gamma160
Put wall, most open put gamma150
Net dollar gamma, calls minus puts$1.96 million
Total dollar gamma, both sides$40.56 million
Close156.08

Dollar gamma is stated for a one percent move in the price.

Net is calls minus puts under the standard convention, not a record of who holds the contracts.

Net gamma changes sign at 3 strikes, so no single flip strike is named.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Volatility History

On 28 Sep 2026, ABNB's at the money IV is 44.6 percent against 20 day realized volatility of 39.6 percent.

FigureValue
At the money IV44.6%
Realized volatility, 20 trading days39.6%
Realized volatility, 60 trading days48.2%
IV against its own weekly recordIn the middle
Weekly readings on record292, from 25 Dec 2020
Weeks the price moved more than the one week priced move28.7% of 251 weeks

Realized volatility is worked out from the daily closes the desk holds, not from the option chain.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Volatility Weather

On 28 Sep 2026, ABNB's at the money IV runs from 41.9 percent at 4 days to 42.5 percent at 172 days.

Days to expiryAt the money IV
441.9%
1147.6%
1840.4%
2542.0%
3948.9%
5344.1%
8141.7%
17242.5%

Near and far expiries price about the same volatility, a flat term structure.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Volatility Smile

On 28 Sep 2026, at the 32 day expiry, ABNB's IV ten percent below the price sits 1.0 points above at the money IV.

Strike areaImplied volatilityAgainst at the money
10% below the price45.6%+1.0 points
At the money44.6%0.0 points
10% above the price46.2%+1.5 points

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Volatility Surface

On 28 Sep 2026, ABNB's surface spans 10 expiries out to 172 days, with IV from 38.0 to 55.3 percent near the price.

FigureValue
Expiries captured10
Nearest expiry2 Oct 2026, 4 days
Farthest expiry19 Mar 2027, 172 days
Points within 10% of the price, 7 days out or more89
Lowest IV among them38.0%
Highest IV among them55.3%

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Expiry Ladder

On 28 Sep 2026, ABNB has 10 captured expiries, from 2 Oct 2026 to 19 Mar 2027.

ExpiryDaysAt the money IVCall open interestPut open interest
2 Oct 2026441.9%3,4513,175
9 Oct 20261147.6%1,0482,394
16 Oct 20261840.4%12,72911,913
23 Oct 20262542.0%665624
30 Oct 20263244.6%1,073631
6 Nov 20263948.9%2318
20 Nov 20265344.1%3,9334,034
18 Dec 20268141.7%14,09615,832
15 Jan 202710940.5%38,74837,035
19 Mar 202717242.5%4,4014,700

Open interest is summed over the strikes captured near the price on each expiry.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Strike Table

On 28 Sep 2026, ABNB's largest open interest sits at the 140 strike, with 12,939 contracts across the captured expiries.

StrikeCall open interestPut open interestTotal
1408,6084,33112,939
1505,2856,33611,621
1352,6046,7499,353
1005208,2998,819
1206748,1408,814
1556,5902,0268,616

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Since Yesterday

From 25 Sep 2026 to 28 Sep 2026, ABNB's at the money IV moved from 40.7 percent to 44.6 percent.

Figure25 Sep28 SepChange
At the money IV40.7%44.6%+4.0 points
Open interest, strikes captured near the price156,576160,523+3,947
Put/call ratio, open interest1.011.00-0.01

Open interest changes cannot identify buyers or sellers.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Changed Hands

On 28 Sep 2026, 12,808 ABNB option contracts traded, 0.6 times its own recent average.

FigureValue
Calls traded7,011
Puts traded5,797
Against its recent average0.6 times
Busier than10 of its last 20 trading days
Open interest, whole chain195,492 contracts
Volume to open interest0.07
Unusual volume flagNo

Traded volume and open interest are shown side by side and never combined. Open interest changes cannot identify buyers or sellers.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Positioning Replay

The replay holds 33 trading days of ABNB's option positioning, from 11 Aug 2026 to 28 Sep 2026.

DateCloseNet dollar gammaTop call strikeTop put strike
11 Aug 2026184.98$23.12 million185180
21 Sep 2026166.84$5.89 million175160
28 Sep 2026156.08$1.96 million160150

Each frame restates one nightly capture. Net is calls minus puts, a convention, not who holds the contracts.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Read-out

On 25 Sep 2026 the desk's view of ABNB was neutral, paper trading.

FigureValue
SideNeutral at 45 trading days, no signal
Level above the close165.83, the swing high of 10 Sep 2026
Level below the close149.00, the swing low of 23 Sep 2026
Strategy familyLong straddle (buy a call and a put at the same strike)
Price targetNone. The desk has no price model.

The levels are prices the shares turned at on the chart, with the date of each.

Paper trading. The model's figures from 25 Sep 2026, one trading day behind, as the Free plan shows them.

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Rank by Timeframe

On 25 Sep 2026 ABNB sat at the 32nd percentile of the model's 45 trading day ranking, paper trading.

TimeframePercentileSide
10 trading days77 of 100Neutral
20 trading days74 of 100Neutral
45 trading days32 of 100Neutral

100 is the top of the ranking. A name in the middle three fifths is neutral.

Paper trading. The model's figures from 25 Sep 2026, one trading day behind, as the Free plan shows them.

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Timeframe Agreement

On 25 Sep 2026 ABNB's near timeframes were neutral and its long timeframe was neutral, paper trading.

GroupTimeframesSideOn that side
Near10 day, 20 dayNeutral0 of 2
Long45 dayNeutral0 of 1

Paper trading. The model's figures from 25 Sep 2026, one trading day behind, as the Free plan shows them.

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Signal History

On 25 Sep 2026 ABNB had carried no signal for at least 18 trading days, paper trading.

Trading daySignal45 day percentile
25 Sep 2026None32 of 100
24 Sep 2026None80 of 100
23 Sep 2026None69 of 100
22 Sep 2026None68 of 100
21 Sep 2026None24 of 100
18 Sep 2026None59 of 100
17 Sep 2026None32 of 100
16 Sep 2026None42 of 100

Paper trading. The model's figures from 25 Sep 2026, one trading day behind, as the Free plan shows them.

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Sector Split

On 25 Sep 2026, 27 of 106 Consumer Discretionary names were bullish and 33 were bearish, paper trading.

SectorNamesBullishBearishNeutral
Consumer Discretionary106273346

Paper trading. The model's figures from 25 Sep 2026, one trading day behind, as the Free plan shows them.

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Price Chart

ABNB closed at 156.08 on 28 Sep 2026.

FigureValue
Last close156.08
Change over 5 trading days-6.4%
Change over 21 trading days-15.4%
Change over 63 trading days+6.1%
Change over 252 trading days+28.2%
52 week high193.45
52 week low110.81
20 day moving average169.00
50 day moving average168.20
200 day moving average142.87
RSI, 14 days37

Worked out from the desk's own daily bars, adjusted for share splits.

From the daily bars through 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Earnings Radar

ABNB reports next on 5 Nov 2026, a date worked out from past quarters.

FigureValue
Next report5 Nov 2026, after the close
DateWorked out from past quarters
Move after the report of 6 Aug 2026+17.4%
Move after the report of 7 May 2026+0.7%
Move after the report of 12 Feb 2026+4.7%
Move after the report of 6 Nov 2025+0.3%

Earnings calendar as of 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Short Volume

On 25 Sep 2026, 42.0 percent of ABNB's reported volume at the covered venues was marked short.

FigureValue
Short sale share, 25 Sep42.0%
Five day average36.2%
52 week median45.5%
Short interest, share of shares outstanding2.5% at the 15 Sep 2026 settlement
Days to cover3.7

Short sale volume counts trades marked short at the covered venues, mostly off exchange. It is not the same as short interest.

Short volume as of 25 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Seasonality

In the 5 Septembers on record, ABNB's average change was plus 1.3 percent, and it rose in 60.0 percent of them.

MonthAverage changeMiddle changeShare of years upYears
September+1.3%+4.3%60.0%5
October+0.1%+1.8%80.0%5
November-0.6%+1.0%60.0%5

Each figure is a month end to month end change in past years. A past month says nothing certain about the next one.

Monthly history through 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Headlines

The desk's news feeds carried 6 headlines naming ABNB in the 3 days to 28 Sep 2026.

FigureValue
Headlines in the window6
Latest28 Sep 2026

The titles are in the Headlines window, with the time each was published.

Headlines as of 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Questions

What is ABNB's IV rank?
ABNB's IV rank is 56 of 100 on 28 Sep 2026.
What move are ABNB options pricing?
On 28 Sep 2026, ABNB options priced a move of 13.5 percent down and 12.2 percent up by 30 Oct 2026.
Where are ABNB's call wall and put wall?
On 28 Sep 2026, ABNB's call wall is the 160 strike and its put wall is the 150 strike.
What was the latest Trade Card for ABNB on the Free plan?
On 25 Sep 2026 the Trade Card for ABNB was a long straddle expiring 30 Oct 2026, paper trading.
When does ABNB report earnings next?
ABNB reports next on 5 Nov 2026, a date worked out from past quarters.

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