Materials

AngloGold Ashanti plc (AU) options and signal

Figures as of 28 Sep 2026

AU is AngloGold Ashanti plc, a Materials name the model ranks every trading day. The options figures are from the close on 28 Sep 2026. The model's figures are from 25 Sep 2026, one trading day behind the latest, as the Free plan shows them. Every model figure is paper trading.

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At a glance

Figure	Value	Date
IV rank	69 of 100	28 Sep
At the money IV	50.7%	28 Sep
Priced move to 16 Oct	10.8% down, 11.2% up	28 Sep
Call wall and put wall	90 and 80	28 Sep
Signal and the desk's view	No signal, view neutral	25 Sep
Last close	92.77	28 Sep
Next report	5 Nov 2026	28 Sep

Options Snapshot

AU's IV rank is 69 of 100 on 28 Sep 2026.

Figure	Value
IV rank	69 of 100
At the money IV	50.7%, near month, 18 days
Put/call ratio, open interest	1.60
Call open interest, strikes captured near the price	23,100 contracts
Put open interest, strikes captured near the price	36,900 contracts
Cost to trade at the money	Fair, 26.9% of the option's mid price

IV rank is where the at the money IV sits among AU's own weekly readings, 0 the lowest and 100 the highest.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Priced Range

On 28 Sep 2026, AU options priced a move of 10.8 percent down and 11.2 percent up by 16 Oct 2026.

Expiry	Days	Down	Up	Range
16 Oct 2026	18	10.8%	11.2%	82.77 to 103.17
20 Nov 2026	53	21.2%	22.3%	73.07 to 113.47
18 Dec 2026	81	23.9%	26.2%	70.57 to 117.07
15 Jan 2027	109	32.8%	27.8%	62.37 to 118.57
19 Mar 2027	172	38.1%	36.0%	57.47 to 126.17
16 Apr 2027	200	39.1%	39.2%	56.47 to 129.17

The range is one standard deviation either side of the close of 92.77, as the option prices imply it.

A priced move restates option prices at the close and says nothing certain about where the price goes.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Gamma Map

On 28 Sep 2026, AU's call wall is the 90 strike and its put wall is the 80 strike.

Figure	Value
Call wall, most open call gamma	90
Put wall, most open put gamma	80
Flip strike, where net gamma changes sign	104.39
Net dollar gamma, calls minus puts	minus $1.83 million
Total dollar gamma, both sides	$6.87 million
Close	92.77

Dollar gamma is stated for a one percent move in the price.

Net is calls minus puts under the standard convention, not a record of who holds the contracts.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Volatility History

On 28 Sep 2026, AU's at the money IV is 50.7 percent against 20 day realized volatility of 43.4 percent.

Figure	Value
At the money IV	50.7%
Realized volatility, 20 trading days	43.4%
Realized volatility, 60 trading days	55.3%
IV against its own weekly record	In the middle
Weekly readings on record	847, from 8 Jan 2010
Weeks the price moved more than the one week priced move	35.2% of 236 weeks

Realized volatility is worked out from the daily closes the desk holds, not from the option chain.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Volatility Weather

On 28 Sep 2026, AU's at the money IV runs from 50.7 percent at 18 days to 52.8 percent at 200 days.

Days to expiry	At the money IV
18	50.7%
53	54.7%
81	54.0%
109	55.6%
172	52.5%
200	52.8%

Far expiries price more volatility than near ones, an upward sloping term structure.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Volatility Smile

On 28 Sep 2026, at the 53 day expiry, AU's IV ten percent below the price sits 1.0 points below at the money IV.

Strike area	Implied volatility	Against at the money
10% below the price	53.7%	-1.0 points
At the money	54.7%	0.0 points
10% above the price	53.4%	-1.3 points

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Volatility Surface

On 28 Sep 2026, AU's surface spans 6 expiries out to 200 days, with IV from 49.9 to 58.5 percent near the price.

Figure	Value
Expiries captured	6
Nearest expiry	16 Oct 2026, 18 days
Farthest expiry	16 Apr 2027, 200 days
Points within 10% of the price, 7 days out or more	22
Lowest IV among them	49.9%
Highest IV among them	58.5%

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Expiry Ladder

On 28 Sep 2026, AU has 6 captured expiries, from 16 Oct 2026 to 16 Apr 2027.

Expiry	Days	At the money IV	Call open interest	Put open interest
16 Oct 2026	18	50.7%	10,375	8,563
20 Nov 2026	53	54.7%	453	298
18 Dec 2026	81	54.0%	4,899	4,684
15 Jan 2027	109	55.6%	6,197	20,209
19 Mar 2027	172	52.5%	1,094	3,026
16 Apr 2027	200	52.8%	61	81

Open interest is summed over the strikes captured near the price on each expiry.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Strike Table

On 28 Sep 2026, AU's largest open interest sits at the 80 strike, with 9,797 contracts across the captured expiries.

Strike	Call open interest	Put open interest	Total
80	977	8,820	9,797
100	1,584	5,453	7,037
90	2,150	3,977	6,127
120	4,169	701	4,870
110	4,380	229	4,609
70	655	3,663	4,318

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Since Yesterday

From 25 Sep 2026 to 28 Sep 2026, AU's at the money IV moved from 48.9 percent to 50.7 percent.

Figure	25 Sep	28 Sep	Change
At the money IV	48.9%	50.7%	+1.9 points
Open interest, strikes captured near the price	61,846	59,940	-1,906
Put/call ratio, open interest	1.41	1.60	+0.19

Open interest changes cannot identify buyers or sellers.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Changed Hands

On 28 Sep 2026, 9,502 AU option contracts traded, 0.9 times its own recent average.

Figure	Value
Calls traded	7,066
Puts traded	2,436
Against its recent average	0.9 times
Busier than	0 of its last 20 trading days
Open interest, whole chain	76,345 contracts
Volume to open interest	0.12
Unusual volume flag	No

Traded volume and open interest are shown side by side and never combined. Open interest changes cannot identify buyers or sellers.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Positioning Replay

The replay holds 33 trading days of AU's option positioning, from 11 Aug 2026 to 28 Sep 2026.

Date	Close	Net dollar gamma	Top call strike	Top put strike
11 Aug 2026	97.44	$994,122	90	80
21 Sep 2026	101.93	$188,084	120	100
28 Sep 2026	92.77	minus $1.83 million	90	80

Each frame restates one nightly capture. Net is calls minus puts, a convention, not who holds the contracts.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Read-out

On 25 Sep 2026 the desk's view of AU was neutral, paper trading.

Figure	Value
Side	Neutral at 45 trading days, no signal
Level above the close	98.20, the swing high of 16 Sep 2026
Level below the close	73.40, the swing low of 31 Jul 2026
Strategy family	Iron condor (sell both sides, defined risk)
Price target	None. The desk has no price model.

The levels are prices the shares turned at on the chart, with the date of each.

Paper trading. The model's figures from 25 Sep 2026, one trading day behind, as the Free plan shows them.

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Rank by Timeframe

On 25 Sep 2026 AU sat at the 61st percentile of the model's 45 trading day ranking, paper trading.

Timeframe	Percentile	Side
10 trading days	97 of 100	Bullish
20 trading days	95 of 100	Bullish
45 trading days	61 of 100	Neutral

100 is the top of the ranking. A name in the middle three fifths is neutral.

Paper trading. The model's figures from 25 Sep 2026, one trading day behind, as the Free plan shows them.

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Timeframe Agreement

On 25 Sep 2026 AU's near timeframes were bullish and its long timeframe was neutral, paper trading.

Group	Timeframes	Side	On that side
Near	10 day, 20 day	Bullish	2 of 2
Long	45 day	Neutral	0 of 1

Paper trading. The model's figures from 25 Sep 2026, one trading day behind, as the Free plan shows them.

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Signal History

On 25 Sep 2026 AU had carried no signal for at least 18 trading days, paper trading.

Trading day	Signal	45 day percentile
25 Sep 2026	None	61 of 100
24 Sep 2026	None	56 of 100
23 Sep 2026	None	54 of 100
22 Sep 2026	None	50 of 100
21 Sep 2026	None	39 of 100
18 Sep 2026	None	37 of 100
17 Sep 2026	None	31 of 100
16 Sep 2026	None	24 of 100

Paper trading. The model's figures from 25 Sep 2026, one trading day behind, as the Free plan shows them.

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Sector Split

On 25 Sep 2026, 35 of 62 Materials names were bullish and 11 were bearish, paper trading.

Sector	Names	Bullish	Bearish	Neutral
Materials	62	35	11	16

Paper trading. The model's figures from 25 Sep 2026, one trading day behind, as the Free plan shows them.

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Price Chart

AU closed at 92.77 on 28 Sep 2026.

Figure	Value
Last close	92.77
Change over 5 trading days	-9.0%
Change over 21 trading days	-21.6%
Change over 63 trading days	+13.4%
Change over 252 trading days	+41.0%
52 week high	129.14
52 week low	62.55
20 day moving average	103.79
50 day moving average	98.46
200 day moving average	96.64
RSI, 14 days	36

Worked out from the desk's own daily bars, adjusted for share splits.

From the daily bars through 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Earnings Radar

AU reports next on 5 Nov 2026, a date worked out from past quarters.

Figure	Value
Next report	5 Nov 2026, before the open
Date	Worked out from past quarters
Move after the report of 31 Jul 2026	-3.7%
Move after the report of 7 May 2026	+6.8%
Move after the report of 19 Feb 2026	+6.2%
Move after the report of 11 Nov 2025	+7.1%

Earnings calendar as of 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Seasonality

In the 28 Septembers on record, AU's average change was plus 2.1 percent, and it rose in 50.0 percent of them.

Month	Average change	Middle change	Share of years up	Years
September	+2.1%	-0.2%	50.0%	28
October	-1.6%	-2.0%	46.4%	28
November	+3.1%	+5.2%	60.7%	28

Each figure is a month end to month end change in past years. A past month says nothing certain about the next one.

Monthly history through 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Headlines

The desk's news feeds carried 2 headlines naming AU in the 3 days to 28 Sep 2026.

Figure	Value
Headlines in the window	2
Latest	28 Sep 2026

The titles are in the Headlines window, with the time each was published.

Headlines as of 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Questions

What is AU's IV rank?: AU's IV rank is 69 of 100 on 28 Sep 2026.
What move are AU options pricing?: On 28 Sep 2026, AU options priced a move of 10.8 percent down and 11.2 percent up by 16 Oct 2026.
Where are AU's call wall and put wall?: On 28 Sep 2026, AU's call wall is the 90 strike and its put wall is the 80 strike.
What was the desk's latest view of AU on the Free plan?: On 25 Sep 2026 the desk's view of AU was neutral, paper trading.
When does AU report earnings next?: AU reports next on 5 Nov 2026, a date worked out from past quarters.

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