Financials

American Express Co (AXP) options and signal

Figures as of 28 Sep 2026

AXP is American Express Co, a Financials name the model ranks every trading day. The options figures are from the close on 28 Sep 2026. The model's figures are from 25 Sep 2026, one trading day behind the latest, as the Free plan shows them. Every model figure is paper trading.

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At a glance

FigureValueDate
IV rank80 of 10028 Sep
At the money IV31.3%28 Sep
Priced move to 30 Oct9.4% down, 9.3% up28 Sep
Call wall and put wall307.5 and 30028 Sep
Signal and the desk's viewNo signal, view bullish25 Sep
Last close306.3328 Sep
Next report23 Oct 202628 Sep

Options Snapshot

AXP's IV rank is 80 of 100 on 28 Sep 2026.

FigureValue
IV rank80 of 100
At the money IV31.3%, near month, 32 days
Put/call ratio, open interest0.94
Call open interest, strikes captured near the price59,800 contracts
Put open interest, strikes captured near the price56,000 contracts
Cost to trade at the moneyFair, 15.0% of the option's mid price

IV rank is where the at the money IV sits among AXP's own weekly readings, 0 the lowest and 100 the highest.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Priced Range

On 28 Sep 2026, AXP options priced a move of 9.4 percent down and 9.3 percent up by 30 Oct 2026.

ExpiryDaysDownUpRange
2 Oct 202643.1%3.1%296.84 to 315.88
9 Oct 2026115.0%5.9%290.93 to 324.53
23 Oct 2026258.5%8.0%280.23 to 330.93
30 Oct 2026329.4%9.3%277.43 to 334.93
20 Nov 20265311.0%11.1%272.53 to 340.33
18 Dec 20268112.9%13.7%266.83 to 348.23
19 Feb 202714417.6%19.5%252.53 to 366.03

The range is one standard deviation either side of the close of 306.33, as the option prices imply it.

A priced move restates option prices at the close and says nothing certain about where the price goes.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Gamma Map

On 28 Sep 2026, AXP's call wall is the 307.5 strike and its put wall is the 300 strike.

FigureValue
Call wall, most open call gamma307.5
Put wall, most open put gamma300
Net dollar gamma, calls minus putsminus $115,085
Total dollar gamma, both sides$105.07 million
Close306.33

Dollar gamma is stated for a one percent move in the price.

Net is calls minus puts under the standard convention, not a record of who holds the contracts.

Net gamma changes sign at 3 strikes, so no single flip strike is named.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Volatility History

On 28 Sep 2026, AXP's at the money IV is 31.3 percent against 20 day realized volatility of 22.2 percent.

FigureValue
At the money IV31.3%
Realized volatility, 20 trading days22.2%
Realized volatility, 60 trading days24.4%
IV against its own weekly recordHigh, in the top fifth
Weekly readings on record864, from 8 Jan 2010
Weeks the price moved more than the one week priced move30.3% of 251 weeks

Realized volatility is worked out from the daily closes the desk holds, not from the option chain.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Volatility Weather

On 28 Sep 2026, AXP's at the money IV runs from 28.6 percent at 4 days to 28.8 percent at 144 days.

Days to expiryAt the money IV
428.6%
1132.5%
1828.5%
2532.0%
3931.4%
5329.8%
8128.3%
14428.8%

Near and far expiries price about the same volatility, a flat term structure.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Volatility Smile

On 28 Sep 2026, at the 32 day expiry, AXP's IV ten percent below the price sits 1.4 points above at the money IV.

Strike areaImplied volatilityAgainst at the money
10% below the price32.7%+1.4 points
At the money31.3%0.0 points
10% above the price33.9%+2.5 points

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Volatility Surface

On 28 Sep 2026, AXP's surface spans 10 expiries out to 144 days, with IV from 26.6 to 44.7 percent near the price.

FigureValue
Expiries captured10
Nearest expiry2 Oct 2026, 4 days
Farthest expiry19 Feb 2027, 144 days
Points within 10% of the price, 7 days out or more103
Lowest IV among them26.6%
Highest IV among them44.7%

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Expiry Ladder

On 28 Sep 2026, AXP has 10 captured expiries, from 2 Oct 2026 to 19 Feb 2027.

ExpiryDaysAt the money IVCall open interestPut open interest
2 Oct 2026428.6%7,6444,049
9 Oct 20261132.5%2,4481,823
16 Oct 20261828.5%6,92514,887
23 Oct 20262532.0%1,2511,693
30 Oct 20263231.3%3921,071
6 Nov 20263931.4%4564
20 Nov 20265329.8%5,2267,166
18 Dec 20268128.3%8,7708,216
15 Jan 202710927.8%25,51514,466
19 Feb 202714428.8%1,5712,608

Open interest is summed over the strikes captured near the price on each expiry.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Strike Table

On 28 Sep 2026, AXP's largest open interest sits at the 300 strike, with 10,386 contracts across the captured expiries.

StrikeCall open interestPut open interestTotal
3001,9898,39710,386
3204,6964,8199,515
3102,3396,8679,206
3506,1811,9008,081
3304,2423,2847,526
4306,681126,693

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Since Yesterday

From 25 Sep 2026 to 28 Sep 2026, AXP's at the money IV moved from 32.1 percent to 31.3 percent.

Figure25 Sep28 SepChange
At the money IV32.1%31.3%-0.8 points
Open interest, strikes captured near the price121,365115,830-5,535
Put/call ratio, open interest0.930.94+0.00

Open interest changes cannot identify buyers or sellers.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Changed Hands

On 28 Sep 2026, 8,872 AXP option contracts traded, 0.5 times its own recent average.

FigureValue
Calls traded4,293
Puts traded4,579
Against its recent average0.5 times
Busier than0 of its last 20 trading days
Open interest, whole chain198,880 contracts
Volume to open interest0.04
Unusual volume flagNo

Traded volume and open interest are shown side by side and never combined. Open interest changes cannot identify buyers or sellers.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Positioning Replay

The replay holds 33 trading days of AXP's option positioning, from 11 Aug 2026 to 28 Sep 2026.

DateCloseNet dollar gammaTop call strikeTop put strike
11 Aug 2026340.81$22.35 million342340
21 Sep 2026313.59minus $6.87 million318310
28 Sep 2026306.33minus $115,085307.5300

Each frame restates one nightly capture. Net is calls minus puts, a convention, not who holds the contracts.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Read-out

On 25 Sep 2026 the desk's view of AXP was bullish, paper trading.

FigureValue
SideBullish at 45 trading days, no signal
Level above the close316.74, the swing high of 22 Sep 2026
Level below the close299.91, the swing low of 24 Sep 2026, a close past it runs against the view
The chartSits against the view
Strategy familyCash-secured put (sell a put below the price)
Price targetNone. The desk has no price model.

The levels are prices the shares turned at on the chart, with the date of each.

Paper trading. The model's figures from 25 Sep 2026, one trading day behind, as the Free plan shows them.

Open Read-out in RingMasterThe Read-out guide

Rank by Timeframe

On 25 Sep 2026 AXP sat at the 90th percentile of the model's 45 trading day ranking, paper trading.

TimeframePercentileSide
10 trading days56 of 100Neutral
20 trading days77 of 100Neutral
45 trading days90 of 100Bullish

100 is the top of the ranking. A name in the middle three fifths is neutral.

Paper trading. The model's figures from 25 Sep 2026, one trading day behind, as the Free plan shows them.

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Timeframe Agreement

On 25 Sep 2026, 1 of 3 timeframes put AXP on the bullish side, paper trading.

GroupTimeframesSideOn that side
Near10 day, 20 dayNeutral0 of 2
Long45 dayBullish1 of 1

Paper trading. The model's figures from 25 Sep 2026, one trading day behind, as the Free plan shows them.

Open Timeframe Agreement in RingMasterThe Timeframe Agreement guide

Signal History

On 25 Sep 2026 AXP had carried no signal for at least 18 trading days, paper trading.

Trading daySignal45 day percentile
25 Sep 2026None90 of 100
24 Sep 2026None94 of 100
23 Sep 2026None75 of 100
22 Sep 2026None80 of 100
21 Sep 2026None70 of 100
18 Sep 2026None75 of 100
17 Sep 2026None74 of 100
16 Sep 2026None77 of 100

Paper trading. The model's figures from 25 Sep 2026, one trading day behind, as the Free plan shows them.

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Sector Split

On 25 Sep 2026, 63 of 135 Financials names were bullish and 32 were bearish, paper trading.

SectorNamesBullishBearishNeutral
Financials135633240

Paper trading. The model's figures from 25 Sep 2026, one trading day behind, as the Free plan shows them.

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Price Chart

AXP closed at 306.33 on 28 Sep 2026.

FigureValue
Last close306.33
Change over 5 trading days-2.3%
Change over 21 trading days-8.3%
Change over 63 trading days-10.1%
Change over 252 trading days-10.0%
52 week high387.49
52 week low290.97
20 day moving average318.12
50 day moving average331.01
200 day moving average333.79
RSI, 14 days35

Worked out from the desk's own daily bars, adjusted for share splits.

From the daily bars through 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Earnings Radar

AXP reports next on 23 Oct 2026, and options priced an earnings move of 6.4 percent through 23 Oct 2026.

FigureValue
Next report23 Oct 2026, before the open
DateConfirmed by the company
Priced earnings move6.4%, a straddle of $19.65 at the 305 strike, expiring 23 Oct 2026
Move after the report of 24 Jul 2026-4.3%
Move after the report of 23 Apr 2026-4.3%
Move after the report of 30 Jan 2026-1.8%
Move after the report of 17 Oct 2025+7.3%

The priced earnings move is the straddle's cost over the share price. It restates option prices and says nothing certain about the report.

Earnings calendar as of 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Company Events

AXP filed 1 current report in the 14 days to 28 Sep 2026, the latest on 15 Sep 2026.

FiledReportWhat it covers
15 Sep 2026Current reportRegulation FD Disclosure

Filings as of 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Public Filings

1 of the 10 fund managers the desk tracks list AXP among the top holdings of their latest quarterly report.

Fund manager
Berkshire Hathaway

Every filing is reproduced as filed, and each one reaches the public days or weeks after the trade.

Filings as of 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Short Volume

On 25 Sep 2026, 44.8 percent of AXP's reported volume at the covered venues was marked short.

FigureValue
Short sale share, 25 Sep44.8%
Five day average47.8%
52 week median52.5%

Short sale volume counts trades marked short at the covered venues, mostly off exchange. It is not the same as short interest.

Short volume as of 25 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Seasonality

In the 36 Septembers on record, AXP's average change was minus 0.5 percent, and it rose in 55.6 percent of them.

MonthAverage changeMiddle changeShare of years upYears
September-0.5%+0.2%55.6%36
October+0.4%+1.4%52.8%36
November+3.9%+3.0%66.7%36

Each figure is a month end to month end change in past years. A past month says nothing certain about the next one.

Monthly history through 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Headlines

The desk's news feeds carried 8 headlines naming AXP in the 3 days to 28 Sep 2026.

FigureValue
Headlines in the window8
Latest28 Sep 2026

The titles are in the Headlines window, with the time each was published.

Headlines as of 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Questions

What is AXP's IV rank?
AXP's IV rank is 80 of 100 on 28 Sep 2026.
What move are AXP options pricing?
On 28 Sep 2026, AXP options priced a move of 9.4 percent down and 9.3 percent up by 30 Oct 2026.
Where are AXP's call wall and put wall?
On 28 Sep 2026, AXP's call wall is the 307.5 strike and its put wall is the 300 strike.
What was the desk's latest view of AXP on the Free plan?
On 25 Sep 2026 the desk's view of AXP was bullish, paper trading.
When does AXP report earnings next?
AXP reports next on 23 Oct 2026, and options priced an earnings move of 6.4 percent through 23 Oct 2026.

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