Consumer Discretionary

Marriott International Inc (MAR) options and signal

Figures as of 28 Sep 2026

MAR is Marriott International Inc, a Consumer Discretionary name the model ranks every trading day. The options figures are from the close on 28 Sep 2026. The model's figures are from 25 Sep 2026, one trading day behind the latest, as the Free plan shows them. Every model figure is paper trading.

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At a glance

FigureValueDate
IV rank77 of 10028 Sep
At the money IV32.2%28 Sep
Priced move to 30 Oct9.6% down, 9.2% up28 Sep
Call wall and put wall370 and 36028 Sep
Signal and the desk's viewNo signal, view neutral25 Sep
Last close358.5728 Sep
Next report3 Nov 202628 Sep

Options Snapshot

MAR's IV rank is 77 of 100 on 28 Sep 2026.

FigureValue
IV rank77 of 100
At the money IV32.2%, near month, 32 days
Put/call ratio, open interest0.78
Call open interest, strikes captured near the price15,600 contracts
Put open interest, strikes captured near the price12,200 contracts
Cost to trade at the moneyWide, 55.0% of the option's mid price

IV rank is where the at the money IV sits among MAR's own weekly readings, 0 the lowest and 100 the highest.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Priced Range

On 28 Sep 2026, MAR options priced a move of 9.6 percent down and 9.2 percent up by 30 Oct 2026.

ExpiryDaysDownUpRange
2 Oct 202644.4%5.0%342.67 to 376.37
9 Oct 2026116.1%6.1%336.57 to 380.37
23 Oct 2026258.4%7.6%328.37 to 385.67
30 Oct 2026329.6%9.2%324.07 to 391.57
18 Dec 20268113.8%14.0%308.97 to 408.87
15 Jan 202710915.3%16.2%303.67 to 416.57
16 Apr 202720019.6%24.2%288.37 to 445.47

The range is one standard deviation either side of the close of 358.57, as the option prices imply it.

A priced move restates option prices at the close and says nothing certain about where the price goes.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Gamma Map

On 28 Sep 2026, MAR's call wall is the 370 strike and its put wall is the 360 strike.

FigureValue
Call wall, most open call gamma370
Put wall, most open put gamma360
Net dollar gamma, calls minus puts$5.76 million
Total dollar gamma, both sides$29.06 million
Close358.57

Dollar gamma is stated for a one percent move in the price.

Net is calls minus puts under the standard convention, not a record of who holds the contracts.

Net gamma changes sign at 5 strikes, so no single flip strike is named.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Volatility History

On 28 Sep 2026, MAR's at the money IV is 32.2 percent against 20 day realized volatility of 22.0 percent.

FigureValue
At the money IV32.2%
Realized volatility, 20 trading days22.0%
Realized volatility, 60 trading days27.0%
IV against its own weekly recordIn the middle
Weekly readings on record865, from 8 Jan 2010
Weeks the price moved more than the one week priced move27.8% of 252 weeks

Realized volatility is worked out from the daily closes the desk holds, not from the option chain.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Volatility Weather

On 28 Sep 2026, MAR's at the money IV runs from 34.8 percent at 4 days to 32.7 percent at 200 days.

Days to expiryAt the money IV
434.8%
1131.2%
1830.6%
2530.3%
5331.1%
8129.3%
10928.2%
20032.7%

Near expiries price more volatility than far ones, an inverted term structure.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Volatility Smile

On 28 Sep 2026, at the 32 day expiry, MAR's IV ten percent below the price sits 4.7 points above at the money IV.

Strike areaImplied volatilityAgainst at the money
10% below the price36.9%+4.7 points
At the money32.2%0.0 points
10% above the price32.0%-0.1 points

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Volatility Surface

On 28 Sep 2026, MAR's surface spans 10 expiries out to 200 days, with IV from 24.5 to 51.0 percent near the price.

FigureValue
Expiries captured10
Nearest expiry2 Oct 2026, 4 days
Farthest expiry16 Apr 2027, 200 days
Points within 10% of the price, 7 days out or more92
Lowest IV among them24.5%
Highest IV among them51.0%

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Expiry Ladder

On 28 Sep 2026, MAR has 10 captured expiries, from 2 Oct 2026 to 16 Apr 2027.

ExpiryDaysAt the money IVCall open interestPut open interest
2 Oct 2026434.8%1,8001,777
9 Oct 20261131.2%279311
16 Oct 20261830.6%3,6722,079
23 Oct 20262530.3%16369
30 Oct 20263232.2%9212
20 Nov 20265331.1%862859
18 Dec 20268129.3%2,9812,195
15 Jan 202710928.2%3,8813,508
19 Mar 202717228.9%1,8151,372
16 Apr 202720032.7%6824

Open interest is summed over the strikes captured near the price on each expiry.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Strike Table

On 28 Sep 2026, MAR's largest open interest sits at the 360 strike, with 2,300 contracts across the captured expiries.

StrikeCall open interestPut open interestTotal
3608011,4992,300
3501,2789032,181
3306941,3372,031
3701,6182411,859
3406371,1461,783
3105781,1641,742

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Since Yesterday

From 25 Sep 2026 to 28 Sep 2026, MAR's at the money IV moved from 30.2 percent to 32.2 percent.

Figure25 Sep28 SepChange
At the money IV30.2%32.2%+1.9 points
Open interest, strikes captured near the price25,56127,819+2,258
Put/call ratio, open interest0.710.78+0.07

Open interest changes cannot identify buyers or sellers.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Changed Hands

On 28 Sep 2026, 4,530 MAR option contracts traded, 0.8 times its own recent average.

FigureValue
Calls traded1,886
Puts traded2,644
Against its recent average0.8 times
Busier than2 of its last 20 trading days
Open interest, whole chain32,824 contracts
Volume to open interest0.14
Unusual volume flagNo

Traded volume and open interest are shown side by side and never combined. Open interest changes cannot identify buyers or sellers.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Positioning Replay

The replay holds 33 trading days of MAR's option positioning, from 11 Aug 2026 to 28 Sep 2026.

DateCloseNet dollar gammaTop call strikeTop put strike
11 Aug 2026349.49$4.88 million330350
21 Sep 2026342.66$885,340350330
28 Sep 2026358.57$5.76 million370360

Each frame restates one nightly capture. Net is calls minus puts, a convention, not who holds the contracts.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Read-out

On 25 Sep 2026 the desk's view of MAR was neutral, paper trading.

FigureValue
SideNeutral at 45 trading days, no signal
Level above the close384.23, the swing high of 28 Jul 2026
Level below the close342.31, the swing low of 15 Sep 2026
Strategy familyIron condor (sell both sides, defined risk)
Price targetNone. The desk has no price model.

The levels are prices the shares turned at on the chart, with the date of each.

Paper trading. The model's figures from 25 Sep 2026, one trading day behind, as the Free plan shows them.

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Rank by Timeframe

On 25 Sep 2026 MAR sat at the 24th percentile of the model's 45 trading day ranking, paper trading.

TimeframePercentileSide
10 trading days57 of 100Neutral
20 trading days55 of 100Neutral
45 trading days24 of 100Neutral

100 is the top of the ranking. A name in the middle three fifths is neutral.

Paper trading. The model's figures from 25 Sep 2026, one trading day behind, as the Free plan shows them.

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Timeframe Agreement

On 25 Sep 2026 MAR's near timeframes were neutral and its long timeframe was neutral, paper trading.

GroupTimeframesSideOn that side
Near10 day, 20 dayNeutral0 of 2
Long45 dayNeutral0 of 1

Paper trading. The model's figures from 25 Sep 2026, one trading day behind, as the Free plan shows them.

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Signal History

On 25 Sep 2026 MAR had carried no signal for at least 18 trading days, paper trading.

Trading daySignal45 day percentile
25 Sep 2026None24 of 100
24 Sep 2026None15 of 100
23 Sep 2026None31 of 100
22 Sep 2026None42 of 100
21 Sep 2026None57 of 100
18 Sep 2026None79 of 100
17 Sep 2026None80 of 100
16 Sep 2026None63 of 100

Paper trading. The model's figures from 25 Sep 2026, one trading day behind, as the Free plan shows them.

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Sector Split

On 25 Sep 2026, 27 of 106 Consumer Discretionary names were bullish and 33 were bearish, paper trading.

SectorNamesBullishBearishNeutral
Consumer Discretionary106273346

Paper trading. The model's figures from 25 Sep 2026, one trading day behind, as the Free plan shows them.

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Price Chart

MAR closed at 358.57 on 28 Sep 2026.

FigureValue
Last close358.57
Change over 5 trading days+4.6%
Change over 21 trading days+1.3%
Change over 63 trading days-4.4%
Change over 252 trading days+37.4%
52 week high410.98
52 week low256.76
20 day moving average339.81
50 day moving average352.65
200 day moving average348.18
RSI, 14 days63

Worked out from the desk's own daily bars, adjusted for share splits.

From the daily bars through 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Earnings Radar

MAR reports next on 3 Nov 2026, a date worked out from past quarters.

FigureValue
Next report3 Nov 2026, before the open
DateWorked out from past quarters
Move after the report of 3 Aug 2026-7.0%
Move after the report of 30 Apr 2026-1.9%
Move after the report of 28 Jan 2026+2.5%
Move after the report of 6 May 2025+1.9%

Earnings calendar as of 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Company Events

MAR filed 1 current report in the 14 days to 28 Sep 2026, the latest on 24 Sep 2026.

FiledReportWhat it covers
24 Sep 2026Current reportEntry into a Material Definitive Agreement; Creation of a Direct Financial Obligation or an Obligation under an Off-Balance Sheet Arrangement of a Registrant

Filings as of 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Short Volume

On 25 Sep 2026, 59.0 percent of MAR's reported volume at the covered venues was marked short.

FigureValue
Short sale share, 25 Sep59.0%
Five day average65.8%
52 week median57.2%
Short interest, share of shares outstanding2.7% at the 15 Sep 2026 settlement
Days to cover4.4

Short sale volume counts trades marked short at the covered venues, mostly off exchange. It is not the same as short interest.

Short volume as of 25 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Seasonality

In the 23 Septembers on record, MAR's average change was plus 1.2 percent, and it rose in 52.2 percent of them.

MonthAverage changeMiddle changeShare of years upYears
September+1.2%+0.7%52.2%23
October+1.6%+2.0%69.6%23
November+4.7%+4.3%73.9%23

Each figure is a month end to month end change in past years. A past month says nothing certain about the next one.

Monthly history through 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Headlines

The desk's news feeds carried 3 headlines naming MAR in the 3 days to 28 Sep 2026.

FigureValue
Headlines in the window3
Latest28 Sep 2026

The titles are in the Headlines window, with the time each was published.

Headlines as of 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Questions

What is MAR's IV rank?
MAR's IV rank is 77 of 100 on 28 Sep 2026.
What move are MAR options pricing?
On 28 Sep 2026, MAR options priced a move of 9.6 percent down and 9.2 percent up by 30 Oct 2026.
Where are MAR's call wall and put wall?
On 28 Sep 2026, MAR's call wall is the 370 strike and its put wall is the 360 strike.
What was the desk's latest view of MAR on the Free plan?
On 25 Sep 2026 the desk's view of MAR was neutral, paper trading.
When does MAR report earnings next?
MAR reports next on 3 Nov 2026, a date worked out from past quarters.

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