Financials

UBS Group AG (UBS) options and signal

Figures as of 28 Sep 2026

UBS is UBS Group AG, a Financials name the model ranks every trading day. The options figures are from the close on 28 Sep 2026. The model's figures are from 25 Sep 2026, one trading day behind the latest, as the Free plan shows them. Every model figure is paper trading.

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At a glance

Figure	Value	Date
IV rank	53 of 100	28 Sep
At the money IV	36.8%	28 Sep
Priced move to 16 Oct	8.3% down, 7.4% up	28 Sep
Call wall and put wall	Both 50	28 Sep
Signal and the desk's view	No signal, view bullish	25 Sep
Last close	48.62	28 Sep
Next report	28 Oct 2026	28 Sep

Options Snapshot

UBS's IV rank is 53 of 100 on 28 Sep 2026.

Figure	Value
IV rank	53 of 100
At the money IV	36.8%, near month, 18 days
Put/call ratio, open interest	1.20
Call open interest, strikes captured near the price	34,200 contracts
Put open interest, strikes captured near the price	40,900 contracts
Cost to trade at the money	Wide, 50.1% of the option's mid price

IV rank is where the at the money IV sits among UBS's own weekly readings, 0 the lowest and 100 the highest.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Priced Range

On 28 Sep 2026, UBS options priced a move of 8.3 percent down and 7.4 percent up by 16 Oct 2026.

Expiry	Days	Down	Up	Range
16 Oct 2026	18	8.3%	7.4%	44.57 to 52.21
20 Nov 2026	53	12.7%	12.8%	42.46 to 54.82
15 Jan 2027	109	19.7%	20.0%	39.06 to 58.36
19 Feb 2027	144	18.5%	22.0%	39.61 to 59.32

The range is one standard deviation either side of the close of 48.62, as the option prices imply it.

A priced move restates option prices at the close and says nothing certain about where the price goes.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Gamma Map

On 28 Sep 2026, UBS's call wall and put wall are both at the 50 strike.

Figure	Value
Call wall, most open call gamma	50
Put wall, most open put gamma	50
Flip strike, where net gamma changes sign	51.89
Net dollar gamma, calls minus puts	minus $527,123
Total dollar gamma, both sides	$6.41 million
Close	48.62

Dollar gamma is stated for a one percent move in the price.

Net is calls minus puts under the standard convention, not a record of who holds the contracts.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Volatility History

On 28 Sep 2026, UBS's at the money IV is 36.8 percent against 20 day realized volatility of 30.3 percent.

Figure	Value
At the money IV	36.8%
Realized volatility, 20 trading days	30.3%
Realized volatility, 60 trading days	25.5%
IV against its own weekly record	In the middle
Weekly readings on record	759, from 8 Jan 2010
Weeks the price moved more than the one week priced move	22.3% of 220 weeks

Realized volatility is worked out from the daily closes the desk holds, not from the option chain.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Volatility Weather

On 28 Sep 2026, UBS's at the money IV runs from 36.8 percent at 18 days to 33.8 percent at 144 days.

Days to expiry	At the money IV
18	36.8%
53	34.7%
109	32.5%
144	33.8%

Near expiries price more volatility than far ones, an inverted term structure.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Volatility Smile

On 28 Sep 2026, at the 53 day expiry, UBS's IV ten percent below the price sits 4.0 points above at the money IV.

Strike area	Implied volatility	Against at the money
10% below the price	38.7%	+4.0 points
At the money	34.7%	0.0 points
10% above the price	35.9%	+1.1 points

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Volatility Surface

On 28 Sep 2026, UBS's surface spans 4 expiries out to 144 days, with IV from 30.5 to 52.0 percent near the price.

Figure	Value
Expiries captured	4
Nearest expiry	16 Oct 2026, 18 days
Farthest expiry	19 Feb 2027, 144 days
Points within 10% of the price, 7 days out or more	16
Lowest IV among them	30.5%
Highest IV among them	52.0%

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Expiry Ladder

On 28 Sep 2026, UBS has 4 captured expiries, from 16 Oct 2026 to 19 Feb 2027.

Expiry	Days	At the money IV	Call open interest	Put open interest
16 Oct 2026	18	36.8%	3,596	2,139
20 Nov 2026	53	34.7%	9,192	5,640
15 Jan 2027	109	32.5%	18,261	31,286
19 Feb 2027	144	33.8%	3,162	1,830

Open interest is summed over the strikes captured near the price on each expiry.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Strike Table

On 28 Sep 2026, UBS's largest open interest sits at the 50 strike, with 15,421 contracts across the captured expiries.

Strike	Call open interest	Put open interest	Total
50	6,440	8,981	15,421
35	2,660	7,790	10,450
47.5	3,634	5,537	9,171
42.5	2,091	5,434	7,525
55	5,359	1,535	6,894
57.5	4,227	228	4,455

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Since Yesterday

From 25 Sep 2026 to 28 Sep 2026, UBS's at the money IV moved from 30.1 percent to 36.8 percent.

Figure	25 Sep	28 Sep	Change
At the money IV	30.1%	36.8%	+6.7 points
Open interest, strikes captured near the price	70,955	75,106	+4,151
Put/call ratio, open interest	1.09	1.20	+0.10

Open interest changes cannot identify buyers or sellers.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Changed Hands

On 28 Sep 2026, 5,029 UBS option contracts traded, 1.1 times its own recent average.

Figure	Value
Calls traded	1,231
Puts traded	3,798
Against its recent average	1.1 times
Open interest, whole chain	84,053 contracts
Volume to open interest	0.06
Unusual volume flag	Yes, 1 contract traded well above open interest
Largest flagged contract	The 50 put expiring 16 Oct, 2,291 traded against 676 open

Traded volume and open interest are shown side by side and never combined. Open interest changes cannot identify buyers or sellers.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Positioning Replay

The replay holds 6 trading days of UBS's option positioning, from 27 Aug 2026 to 28 Sep 2026.

Date	Close	Net dollar gamma	Top call strike	Top put strike
27 Aug 2026	54.36	$776,551	55	50
28 Sep 2026	48.62	minus $527,123	50	50

Each frame restates one nightly capture. Net is calls minus puts, a convention, not who holds the contracts.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Read-out

On 25 Sep 2026 the desk's view of UBS was bullish, paper trading.

Figure	Value
Side	Bullish at 45 trading days, no signal
Level above the close	49.91, the swing high of 16 Sep 2026
Level below the close	47.18, the swing low of 24 Sep 2026, a close past it runs against the view
The chart	Sits against the view
Strategy family	Cash-secured put (sell a put below the price)
Price target	None. The desk has no price model.

The levels are prices the shares turned at on the chart, with the date of each.

Paper trading. The model's figures from 25 Sep 2026, one trading day behind, as the Free plan shows them.

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Rank by Timeframe

On 25 Sep 2026 UBS sat at the 89th percentile of the model's 45 trading day ranking, paper trading.

Timeframe	Percentile	Side
10 trading days	50 of 100	Neutral
20 trading days	87 of 100	Bullish
45 trading days	89 of 100	Bullish

100 is the top of the ranking. A name in the middle three fifths is neutral.

Paper trading. The model's figures from 25 Sep 2026, one trading day behind, as the Free plan shows them.

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Timeframe Agreement

On 25 Sep 2026, 2 of 3 timeframes put UBS on the bullish side, paper trading.

Group	Timeframes	Side	On that side
Near	10 day, 20 day	Bullish	1 of 2
Long	45 day	Bullish	1 of 1

Paper trading. The model's figures from 25 Sep 2026, one trading day behind, as the Free plan shows them.

Open Timeframe Agreement in RingMaster The Timeframe Agreement guide

Signal History

On 25 Sep 2026 UBS had carried no signal for 1 trading day, paper trading.

Trading day	Signal	45 day percentile
25 Sep 2026	None	89 of 100
24 Sep 2026	Bullish	95 of 100
23 Sep 2026	None	94 of 100
22 Sep 2026	Bullish	95 of 100
21 Sep 2026	None	95 of 100

Paper trading. The model's figures from 25 Sep 2026, one trading day behind, as the Free plan shows them.

Open Signal History in RingMaster The Signal History guide

Sector Split

On 25 Sep 2026, 63 of 135 Financials names were bullish and 32 were bearish, paper trading.

Sector	Names	Bullish	Bearish	Neutral
Financials	135	63	32	40

Paper trading. The model's figures from 25 Sep 2026, one trading day behind, as the Free plan shows them.

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Price Chart

UBS closed at 48.62 on 28 Sep 2026.

Figure	Value
Last close	48.62
Change over 5 trading days	-4.8%
Change over 21 trading days	-10.6%
Change over 63 trading days	-1.8%
Change over 252 trading days	+20.1%
52 week high	55.98
52 week low	36.30
20 day moving average	52.26
50 day moving average	52.81
200 day moving average	46.90
RSI, 14 days	35

Worked out from the desk's own daily bars, adjusted for share splits.

From the daily bars through 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Earnings Radar

UBS reports next on 28 Oct 2026, a date confirmed by the company.

Figure	Value
Next report	28 Oct 2026, before the open
Date	Confirmed by the company
Move after the report of 29 Jul 2026	-0.4%
Move after the report of 30 Apr 2026	-0.5%
Move after the report of 28 Jan 2026	+0.4%
Move after the report of 30 Apr 2025	-0.9%

Earnings calendar as of 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Seasonality

In the 23 Septembers on record, UBS's average change was minus 1.8 percent, and it rose in 56.5 percent of them.

Month	Average change	Middle change	Share of years up	Years
September	-1.8%	+0.5%	56.5%	23
October	+2.1%	+0.8%	60.9%	23
November	+2.2%	+1.0%	60.9%	23

Each figure is a month end to month end change in past years. A past month says nothing certain about the next one.

Monthly history through 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Headlines

The desk's news feeds carried 8 headlines naming UBS in the 3 days to 28 Sep 2026.

Figure	Value
Headlines in the window	8
Latest	28 Sep 2026

The titles are in the Headlines window, with the time each was published.

Headlines as of 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Questions

What is UBS's IV rank?: UBS's IV rank is 53 of 100 on 28 Sep 2026.
What move are UBS options pricing?: On 28 Sep 2026, UBS options priced a move of 8.3 percent down and 7.4 percent up by 16 Oct 2026.
Where are UBS's call wall and put wall?: On 28 Sep 2026, UBS's call wall and put wall are both at the 50 strike.
What was the desk's latest view of UBS on the Free plan?: On 25 Sep 2026 the desk's view of UBS was bullish, paper trading.
When does UBS report earnings next?: UBS reports next on 28 Oct 2026, a date confirmed by the company.

More Financials names

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