Information Technology

Nova Ltd. (NVMI) options and signal

Figures as of 28 Sep 2026

NVMI is Nova Ltd., an Information Technology name the model ranks every trading day. The options figures are from the close on 28 Sep 2026. The model's figures are from 25 Sep 2026, one trading day behind the latest, as the Free plan shows them. Every model figure is paper trading.

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At a glance

FigureValueDate
IV rank53 of 10028 Sep
At the money IV55.2%28 Sep
Priced move to 16 Oct11.7% down, 11.8% up28 Sep
Call wall and put wall430 and 35028 Sep
Signal and the desk's viewNo signal, view bullish25 Sep
Last close370.4228 Sep
Next report5 Nov 202628 Sep

Options Snapshot

NVMI's IV rank is 53 of 100 on 28 Sep 2026.

FigureValue
IV rank53 of 100
At the money IV55.2%, near month, 18 days
Put/call ratio, open interest0.59
Call open interest, strikes captured near the price6,880 contracts
Put open interest, strikes captured near the price4,030 contracts
Cost to trade at the moneyFair, 16.5% of the option's mid price

IV rank is where the at the money IV sits among NVMI's own weekly readings, 0 the lowest and 100 the highest.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Priced Range

On 28 Sep 2026, NVMI options priced a move of 11.7 percent down and 11.8 percent up by 16 Oct 2026.

ExpiryDaysDownUpRange
16 Oct 20261811.7%11.8%327.02 to 414.22
20 Nov 20265323.4%23.4%283.62 to 457.12
18 Dec 20268127.5%33.5%268.42 to 494.42
15 Jan 202710933.2%32.4%247.42 to 490.42
19 Feb 202714435.9%38.9%237.42 to 514.42

The range is one standard deviation either side of the close of 370.42, as the option prices imply it.

A priced move restates option prices at the close and says nothing certain about where the price goes.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Gamma Map

On 28 Sep 2026, NVMI's call wall is the 430 strike and its put wall is the 350 strike.

FigureValue
Call wall, most open call gamma430
Put wall, most open put gamma350
Net dollar gamma, calls minus puts$420,923
Total dollar gamma, both sides$3.93 million
Close370.42

Dollar gamma is stated for a one percent move in the price.

Net is calls minus puts under the standard convention, not a record of who holds the contracts.

Net gamma changes sign at 9 strikes, so no single flip strike is named.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Volatility History

On 28 Sep 2026, NVMI's at the money IV is 55.2 percent against 20 day realized volatility of 50.5 percent.

FigureValue
At the money IV55.2%
Realized volatility, 20 trading days50.5%
Realized volatility, 60 trading days55.9%
IV against its own weekly recordIn the middle
Weekly readings on record798, from 5 Mar 2010
Weeks the price moved more than the one week priced move33.1% of 236 weeks

Realized volatility is worked out from the daily closes the desk holds, not from the option chain.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Volatility Weather

On 28 Sep 2026, NVMI's at the money IV runs from 55.2 percent at 18 days to 55.7 percent at 144 days.

Days to expiryAt the money IV
1855.2%
5362.4%
8159.4%
10960.8%
14455.7%

Near and far expiries price about the same volatility, a flat term structure.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Volatility Smile

On 28 Sep 2026, at the 53 day expiry, NVMI's IV ten percent below the price sits 1.9 points above at the money IV.

Strike areaImplied volatilityAgainst at the money
10% below the price64.2%+1.9 points
At the money62.4%0.0 points
10% above the price60.6%-1.8 points

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Volatility Surface

On 28 Sep 2026, NVMI's surface spans 5 expiries out to 144 days, with IV from 3.1 to 228.7 percent near the price.

FigureValue
Expiries captured5
Nearest expiry16 Oct 2026, 18 days
Farthest expiry19 Feb 2027, 144 days
Points within 10% of the price, 7 days out or more32
Lowest IV among them3.1%
Highest IV among them228.7%

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Expiry Ladder

On 28 Sep 2026, NVMI has 5 captured expiries, from 16 Oct 2026 to 19 Feb 2027.

ExpiryDaysAt the money IVCall open interestPut open interest
16 Oct 20261855.2%280156
20 Nov 20265362.4%2,8362,781
18 Dec 20268159.4%2,401916
15 Jan 202710960.8%271
19 Feb 202714455.7%1,335178

Open interest is summed over the strikes captured near the price on each expiry.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Strike Table

On 28 Sep 2026, NVMI's largest open interest sits at the 580 strike, with 1,264 contracts across the captured expiries.

StrikeCall open interestPut open interestTotal
5801,26311,264
4506833241,007
440309396705
310156481637
43054812560
5605500550

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Since Yesterday

From 25 Sep 2026 to 28 Sep 2026, NVMI's at the money IV moved from 54.1 percent to 55.2 percent.

Figure25 Sep28 SepChange
At the money IV54.1%55.2%+1.2 points
Open interest, strikes captured near the price10,85610,911+55
Put/call ratio, open interest0.590.59-0.01

Open interest changes cannot identify buyers or sellers.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Changed Hands

On 28 Sep 2026, 2,170 NVMI option contracts traded, 0.8 times its own recent average.

FigureValue
Calls traded1,254
Puts traded916
Against its recent average0.8 times
Busier than0 of its last 20 trading days
Open interest, whole chain11,708 contracts
Volume to open interest0.19
Unusual volume flagNo

Traded volume and open interest are shown side by side and never combined. Open interest changes cannot identify buyers or sellers.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Positioning Replay

The replay holds 33 trading days of NVMI's option positioning, from 11 Aug 2026 to 28 Sep 2026.

DateCloseNet dollar gammaTop call strikeTop put strike
11 Aug 2026395.95minus $1.91 million440390
21 Sep 2026362.81minus $454,020430350
28 Sep 2026370.42$420,923430350

Each frame restates one nightly capture. Net is calls minus puts, a convention, not who holds the contracts.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Read-out

On 25 Sep 2026 the desk's view of NVMI was bullish, paper trading.

FigureValue
SideBullish at 45 trading days, no signal
Level above the close370.99, the swing high of 22 Sep 2026
Level below the close335.47, the swing low of 1 Sep 2026, a close past it runs against the view
The chartSits against the view
Strategy familyCash-secured put (sell a put below the price)
Price targetNone. The desk has no price model.

The levels are prices the shares turned at on the chart, with the date of each.

Paper trading. The model's figures from 25 Sep 2026, one trading day behind, as the Free plan shows them.

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Rank by Timeframe

On 25 Sep 2026 NVMI sat at the 74th percentile of the model's 45 trading day ranking, paper trading.

TimeframePercentileSide
10 trading days94 of 100Bullish
20 trading days75 of 100Neutral
45 trading days74 of 100Neutral

100 is the top of the ranking. A name in the middle three fifths is neutral.

Paper trading. The model's figures from 25 Sep 2026, one trading day behind, as the Free plan shows them.

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Timeframe Agreement

On 25 Sep 2026, 1 of 3 timeframes put NVMI on the bullish side, paper trading.

GroupTimeframesSideOn that side
Near10 day, 20 dayBullish1 of 2
Long45 dayNeutral0 of 1

Paper trading. The model's figures from 25 Sep 2026, one trading day behind, as the Free plan shows them.

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Signal History

On 25 Sep 2026 NVMI had carried no signal for 17 trading days, paper trading.

Trading daySignal45 day percentile
25 Sep 2026None74 of 100
24 Sep 2026None74 of 100
23 Sep 2026None31 of 100
22 Sep 2026None31 of 100
21 Sep 2026None80 of 100
18 Sep 2026None72 of 100
17 Sep 2026None93 of 100
16 Sep 2026None64 of 100

Paper trading. The model's figures from 25 Sep 2026, one trading day behind, as the Free plan shows them.

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Sector Split

On 25 Sep 2026, 80 of 187 Information Technology names were bullish and 61 were bearish, paper trading.

SectorNamesBullishBearishNeutral
Information Technology187806146

Paper trading. The model's figures from 25 Sep 2026, one trading day behind, as the Free plan shows them.

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Price Chart

NVMI closed at 370.42 on 28 Sep 2026.

FigureValue
Last close370.42
Change over 5 trading days+2.1%
Change over 21 trading days-0.1%
Change over 63 trading days-28.8%
Change over 252 trading days+20.7%
52 week high615.99
52 week low266.43
20 day moving average358.32
50 day moving average383.18
200 day moving average441.81
RSI, 14 days51

Worked out from the desk's own daily bars, adjusted for share splits.

From the daily bars through 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Earnings Radar

NVMI reports next on 5 Nov 2026, a date worked out from past quarters.

FigureValue
Next report5 Nov 2026, before the open
DateWorked out from past quarters
Move after the report of 6 Aug 2026-5.2%
Move after the report of 29 Jul 2026+7.4%
Move after the report of 30 Apr 2026-1.2%
Move after the report of 28 Jan 2026+2.1%

Earnings calendar as of 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Seasonality

In the 23 Septembers on record, NVMI's average change was plus 2.8 percent, and it rose in 43.5 percent of them.

MonthAverage changeMiddle changeShare of years upYears
September+2.8%-0.9%43.5%23
October+2.7%+3.0%60.9%23
November+6.3%+5.0%69.6%23

Each figure is a month end to month end change in past years. A past month says nothing certain about the next one.

Monthly history through 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Questions

What is NVMI's IV rank?
NVMI's IV rank is 53 of 100 on 28 Sep 2026.
What move are NVMI options pricing?
On 28 Sep 2026, NVMI options priced a move of 11.7 percent down and 11.8 percent up by 16 Oct 2026.
Where are NVMI's call wall and put wall?
On 28 Sep 2026, NVMI's call wall is the 430 strike and its put wall is the 350 strike.
What was the desk's latest view of NVMI on the Free plan?
On 25 Sep 2026 the desk's view of NVMI was bullish, paper trading.
When does NVMI report earnings next?
NVMI reports next on 5 Nov 2026, a date worked out from past quarters.

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